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HIV incidence after pre-exposure prophylaxis initiation among women and men at elevated HIV risk: A population-based study in rural Kenya and Uganda.

BACKGROUND: Oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is highly effective for HIV prevention, but data are limited on HIV incidence among PrEP users in generalized epidemic settings, particularly outside of selected risk groups. We performed a population-based PrEP study in rural Kenya and Uganda and sought to evaluate both changes in HIV incidence and clinical and virologic outcomes following seroconversion on PrEP. METHODS AND FINDINGS: During population-level HIV testing of individuals >/=15 years in 16 communities in the Sustainable East Africa Research in Community Health (SEARCH) study (NCT01864603), we offered universal access to PrEP with enhanced counseling for persons at elevated HIV risk (based on serodifferent partnership, machine learning-based risk score, or self-identified HIV risk). We offered rapid or same-day PrEP initiation and flexible service delivery with follow-up visits at facilities or community-based sites at 4, 12, and every 12 weeks up to week 144. Among participants with incident HIV infection after PrEP initiation, we offered same-day antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation and analyzed HIV RNA, tenofovir hair concentrations, drug resistance, and viral suppression (<1,000 c/ml based on available assays) after ART start. Using Poisson regression with cluster-robust standard errors, we compared HIV incidence among PrEP initiators to incidence among propensity score-matched recent historical controls (from the year before PrEP availability) in 8 of the 16 communities, adjusted for risk group. Among 74,541 individuals who tested negative for HIV, 15,632/74,541 (21%) were assessed to be at elevated HIV risk; 5,447/15,632 (35%) initiated PrEP (49% female; 29% 15-24 years; 19% in serodifferent partnerships), of whom 79% engaged in >/=1 follow-up visit and 61% self-reported PrEP adherence at >/=1 visit. Over 7,150 person-years of follow-up, HIV incidence was 0.35 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.22-0.49) among PrEP initiators. Among matched controls, HIV incidence was 0.92 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0.49-1.41), corresponding to 74% lower incidence among PrEP initiators compared to matched controls (adjusted incidence rate ratio [aIRR] 0.26, 95% CI 0.09-0.75; p = 0.013). Among women, HIV incidence was 76% lower among PrEP initiators versus matched controls (aIRR 0.24, 95% CI 0.07-0.79; p = 0.019); among men, HIV incidence was 40% lower, but not significantly so (aIRR 0.60, 95% CI 0.12-3.05; p = 0.54). Of 25 participants with incident HIV infection (68% women), 7/25 (28%) reported taking PrEP

Authors: Koss, Catherine A; Havlir, Diane V; Ayieko, James; Kwarisiima, Dalsone; Kabami, Jane; Chamie, Gabriel; Atukunda, Mucunguzi; Mwinike, Yusuf; Mwangwa, Florence; Owaraganise, Asiphas; Peng, James; Olilo, Winter; Snyman, Katherine; Awuonda, Benard; Clark, Tamara D; Black, Douglas; Nugent, Joshua; Brown, Lillian B; Marquez, Carina; Okochi, Hideaki; Zhang, Kevin; Camlin, Carol S; Jain, Vivek; Gandhi, Monica; Cohen, Craig R; Bukusi, Elizabeth A; Charlebois, Edwin D; Petersen, Maya L; Kamya, Moses R; Balzer, Laura B

PLoS Med. 2021 Feb 9;18(2):e1003492. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003492. eCollection 2021 Feb.

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